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Red34
23410.5
87213.2
Blue24
19110.8
80811.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22231015202530353424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
872
Unranked
13.20.6
12.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
808
Unranked
11.30.6
11.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
10.50.6
10.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
191
Unranked
10.80.6
11.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End