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Red30
20112.4
77912.6
Blue41
1209.2
6713.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301701020405060703041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
779
Unranked
12.61.1
13.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
67
Unranked
13.41.1
10.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
12.41.1
13.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
120
Unranked
9.21.1
9.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End