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Red22
97013.4
14413.3
Blue34
30216.7
13513.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262901020405060702234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
970
Unranked
13.40.7
12.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
302
Unranked
16.70.7
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
144
Unranked
13.30.7
13.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
135
Unranked
13.00.7
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End