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Red23
4811.4
31410.1
Blue23
4514.9
8308.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21210103040502323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
45
Unranked
14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
830
Unranked
8.3
Auto
Teleop
End