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Red41
6815.8
19110.8
Blue25
65211.4
24911.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035404125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
15.81.0
15.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
249
Unranked
11.81.0
12.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
191
Unranked
10.81.0
10.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
652
Unranked
11.41.0
13.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End