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Red30
9411.4
96412.6
Blue22
6429.9
20112.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272001030405060703022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
964
Unranked
12.60.3
13.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
201
Unranked
12.40.3
12.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
Unranked
11.40.3
11.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
642
Unranked
9.90.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End