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Red20
31410.1
80811.3
Blue23
1179.7
53512.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123010304050602023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
808
Unranked
11.30.2
11.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
535
Unranked
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
10.10.2
10.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
117
Unranked
9.70.2
9.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End