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Red0
22914.7
4713.4
25412.1
Blue20
85918.1
46916.0
20112.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39480206080100120020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
14.70.3
15.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
859
Unranked
18.10.3
17.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47
Unranked
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
469
Unranked
16.00.3
15.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
254
Unranked
12.10.3
12.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
201
Unranked
12.40.3
12.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End