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Red40
90710.5
82010.8
Blue32
91213.3
2767.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252004060801001204032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
820
Unranked
10.81.7
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
912
Unranked
13.31.5
13.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
907
Unranked
10.51.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
276
Unranked
7.40.3
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End