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Red33
91813.7
91213.3
Blue21
7729.6
91911.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25240102030405060703321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
918
Unranked
13.70.7
13.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
919
Unranked
11.40.7
10.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
912
Unranked
13.30.7
11.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
772
Unranked
9.60.7
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End