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Red30
29614.4
51510.4
Blue33
89112.5
4813.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192504060801001201403033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
Unranked
14.42.3
14.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
48
Unranked
13.80.0
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
Unranked
10.40.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
891
Unranked
12.50.4
12.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End