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Red35
77310.9
89112.5
Blue32
84310.1
6417.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524102030403532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
891
Unranked
12.50.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
843
Unranked
10.10.2
13.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
773
Unranked
10.90.2
12.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
641
Unranked
7.80.2
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End