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Red31
86311.3
88512.3
Blue35
29614.4
84910.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262304060803135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
Unranked
12.30.2
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
296
Unranked
14.40.4
11.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
863
Unranked
11.30.4
11.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
849
Unranked
10.90.4
12.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End