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Red31
89112.5
9136.2
Blue25
37815.0
9179.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232351015203035403125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
891
Unranked
12.50.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
378
Unranked
15.00.5
13.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
913
Unranked
6.20.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
917
Unranked
9.30.5
10.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End