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Red20
61013.0
6417.8
Blue32
78113.5
86311.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22225101520253035402032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
13.00.7
11.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
781
Unranked
13.50.7
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
641
Unranked
7.80.7
10.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
863
Unranked
11.30.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End