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Red20
22914.4
37913.3
Blue16
2228.4
9136.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271904060802016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
14.40.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
222
Unranked
8.40.0
10.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
13.30.0
11.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
913
Unranked
6.20.1
9.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End