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Red30
86512.6
9179.3
Blue36
9159.8
88512.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22220102030403036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
Unranked
12.60.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
885
Unranked
12.30.2
13.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
917
Unranked
9.30.3
10.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
915
Unranked
9.80.3
9.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End