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Red35
90710.5
78113.5
Blue30
8548.4
7729.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242410152030353530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
13.50.3
11.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
772
Unranked
9.60.3
11.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
907
Unranked
10.50.3
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
854
Unranked
8.40.3
12.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End