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Red51
37913.3
23312.3
Blue43
75815.0
29614.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212804060801005143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
13.30.5
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
758
Unranked
15.00.8
15.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
233
Unranked
12.30.5
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
296
Unranked
14.40.8
12.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End