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Red36
77310.9
86311.3
Blue24
7729.6
86512.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22225101520253035403624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
863
Unranked
11.30.8
11.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
865
Unranked
12.60.8
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
773
Unranked
10.90.8
9.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
772
Unranked
9.60.8
11.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End