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Red30
78113.5
29112.1
Blue26
4813.8
37815.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243104060801001201403026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
13.50.5
11.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
378
Unranked
15.00.5
16.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
291
Unranked
12.10.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
48
Unranked
13.80.4
13.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End