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Red31
7718.6
91213.3
Blue22
9136.2
6417.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22190103040503122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
912
Unranked
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
641
Unranked
7.80.4
9.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
771
Unranked
8.60.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
913
Unranked
6.20.4
10.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End