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Red30
86512.6
37913.3
Blue31
8548.4
18815.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010304050603031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
13.30.1
11.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
188
Unranked
15.00.1
10.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
865
Unranked
12.60.6
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
854
Unranked
8.43.8
8.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End