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Red32
84310.1
63911.4
Blue30
9179.3
8548.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121510152530353230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
Unranked
11.40.1
9.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
917
Unranked
9.30.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
843
Unranked
10.10.1
11.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
854
Unranked
8.40.1
11.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End