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Red53
18815.0
91911.4
Blue4
84910.9
2228.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22260406080100120140160534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
15.01.9
13.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
849
Unranked
10.93.0
14.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
Unranked
11.43.2
9.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
222
Unranked
8.41.9
10.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End