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Red29
24714.8
91813.7
Blue1
86311.3
84310.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27230406080100291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
Unranked
14.81.0
14.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
863
Unranked
11.31.4
12.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
918
Unranked
13.71.4
12.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
843
Unranked
10.11.4
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End