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Red31
57810.1
78113.5
Blue22
2228.4
88512.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321010304050603122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
13.50.4
12.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
885
Unranked
12.30.3
13.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
Unranked
10.10.3
10.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
222
Unranked
8.40.3
8.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End