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Red39
15716.7
8028.6
Blue56
69510.8
48614.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29210104050603956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.70.8
17.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
486
Unranked
14.11.1
12.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
802
Unranked
8.61.0
9.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
695
Unranked
10.80.8
9.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End