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Qual 122002 Philadelphia Alliance Regional
Red31
36515.2
11710.9
Blue30
9208.7
44410.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23230102030403130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
15.20.0
12.8→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
444
Unranked
10.21.8
10.2→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
117
Unranked
10.90.1
10.1→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
920
Unranked
8.70.1
10.7→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—