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Red30
70813.9
6312.9
Blue29
11710.9
69510.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28130204060801003029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
Unranked
13.92.1
13.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
117
Unranked
10.90.4
9.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
12.94.6
16.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
695
Unranked
10.80.4
7.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End