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Red32
27215.3
14515.6
Blue29
31614.1
61213.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243004060801003229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
Unranked
15.60.4
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
316
Unranked
14.10.3
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
15.30.3
11.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
612
Unranked
13.20.3
14.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End