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Red40
65110.2
2228.2
Blue38
35711.8
70910.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212804060801004038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
10.20.3
10.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
357
Unranked
11.80.2
13.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
Unranked
8.20.3
12.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
709
Unranked
10.50.3
12.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End