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Red11
15716.7
38111.0
Blue28
3419.1
48713.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622010304050601128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.70.7
16.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
487
Unranked
13.71.2
13.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
381
Unranked
11.00.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
341
Unranked
9.10.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End