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Red39
31614.1
16513.2
Blue22
48713.7
64312.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282301020405060703922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
14.10.6
14.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
487
Unranked
13.70.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
165
Unranked
13.20.9
12.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
643
Unranked
12.70.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End