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Red38
4596.5
61213.2
Blue30
6312.9
43313.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524101520303540453830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
Unranked
13.20.4
16.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
433
Unranked
13.00.5
13.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
459
Unranked
6.50.3
8.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
63
Unranked
12.90.5
11.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End