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Red20
16513.2
22513.6
Blue33
14515.6
56513.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626102030402033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
13.60.5
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
145
Unranked
15.60.8
16.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
165
Unranked
13.20.8
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
565
Unranked
13.20.8
9.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End