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Red20
2049.4
12215.3
Blue29
52810.7
8028.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281604060802029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
15.30.6
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
528
Unranked
10.71.0
8.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
9.41.0
12.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
802
Unranked
8.61.0
10.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End