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Red30
81612.3
6312.9
Blue11
10411.9
2228.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262101030405060703011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
Unranked
12.91.0
11.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
104
Unranked
11.91.0
10.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
Unranked
12.31.0
13.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
222
Unranked
8.21.0
11.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End