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Red36
70910.5
64312.7
Blue20
9208.7
44410.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20200510152530353620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
643
Unranked
12.70.6
10.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
444
Unranked
10.21.0
11.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
Unranked
10.51.0
9.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
920
Unranked
8.71.0
8.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End