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Red45
2049.4
56312.1
Blue0
10411.9
8028.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
563
Unranked
12.12.8
12.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
104
Unranked
11.92.6
11.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
9.45.5
9.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
802
Unranked
8.60.7
8.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End