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Red24
22513.6
11710.9
Blue30
8028.6
35711.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212604060801001202430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
13.60.1
12.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
357
Unranked
11.80.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
117
Unranked
10.90.2
10.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
802
Unranked
8.60.2
11.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End