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Red34
36515.2
10411.9
Blue20
4199.3
56113.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232351015203035403420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
15.20.5
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
561
Unranked
13.90.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
104
Unranked
11.90.9
9.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
419
Unranked
9.30.9
11.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End