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Red40
56513.2
56113.9
Blue23
3049.0
64312.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060801004023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
561
Unranked
13.90.8
12.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
643
Unranked
12.70.5
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
565
Unranked
13.20.8
13.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
304
Unranked
9.00.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End