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Red20
8099.3
48614.1
Blue40
48713.7
52810.7
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272101040506070802040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
14.11.3
14.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
487
Unranked
13.71.4
13.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
Unranked
9.31.3
11.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
528
Unranked
10.71.3
8.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End