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Red45
35711.8
27215.3
Blue22
6187.0
9208.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113020405060704522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
15.30.5
14.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
920
Unranked
8.70.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
Unranked
11.80.5
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
618
Unranked
7.00.8
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End