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Red30
2049.4
3049.0
Blue40
36717.2
8028.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173004060801003040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
Unranked
9.40.2
11.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
367
Unranked
17.20.2
17.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
Unranked
9.00.2
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
802
Unranked
8.60.2
9.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End