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Red40
64312.7
12215.3
48410.4
Blue39
56312.1
66513.9
10411.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838203050604039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
15.30.0
15.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
665
Unranked
13.90.0
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
643
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
563
Unranked
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
104
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End