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Red20
70110.3
37615.0
11512.7
Blue10
19012.9
85214.0
5819.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38371020305060702010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
376
Unranked
15.00.2
14.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
852
Unranked
14.00.2
14.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
12.70.2
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
190
Unranked
12.90.1
13.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
701
Unranked
10.30.2
10.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
581
Unranked
9.80.2
10.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End