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Red20
11512.7
6499.9
Blue43
4098.5
25812.5
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281604060801002043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
12.71.6
14.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
258
Unranked
12.51.6
10.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
649
Unranked
9.91.6
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
409
Unranked
8.51.8
7.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End