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Red11
5819.8
84613.9
Blue20
6928.6
63213.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271804060801001120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
13.90.8
14.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
632
Unranked
13.30.8
12.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
581
Unranked
9.80.8
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
692
Unranked
8.60.8
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End